who would you choose as CapCon’

fertieg95

We don’t know what was asked or how it was phrased with either of these polls. So! Caveat, dear readers. Caveat.
“Voters are rejecting Chris Gibson’s economic policies because they’d take the country backwards and are wrong for Upstate New York,” said Shripal Shah, Regional Press Secretary for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.? “As a businessman who has helped create jobs over the course of his career,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], Scott Murphy knows what it takes to get the economy moving again; New Yorkers recognize that he is the right choice to continue working to get the Upstate economy back on track.”
A poll leaked by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee shows Rep. Scott Murphy leading by a comfortable 13 points.
The release came several hours after Chris Gibson, Murphy’s GOP challenger, released a poll showing he is within “striking distance.”
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee today released a new Grove Insight poll that shows Representative Scott Murphy leading Republican challenger Chris Gibson by 13 percent.
Shah declined to answer questions about how Grove defined “likely” voters and how it constructed its sample.
But the key thing to remember with these polls is that they can be skewed pretty easily depending on how questions are ordered or worded. For example, if I were to poll readers the following set of questions…
…I might beat Casey even though he’d clearly win on the merits. Or in a poll that HE wrote.
1) Did you know Casey Seiler kills kittens and eats them for breakfast?
2) Do you have a favorable / unfavorable impression of Casey?
3) Did you know Jimmy Vielkind won the 2004 Nobel Peace Prize for saving the whales?
4) Do you have a favorable / unfavorable impression of Jimmy?
5) If an election were held today,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], who would you choose as CapCon’s best blogger?
In the initial head-to-head in the race for New York’s 20th congressional district,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], Murphy leads Gibson 51 percent to 38 percent.? Conducted September 28-30, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 percent margin of error.